Showing posts with label trade agreements. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trade agreements. Show all posts

Saturday, October 25, 2008

Don't Close The Door On Free Trade

In the midst of the financial crisis, another threat is nipping at the global economy's heels: the re-emergence of protectionism.

Both the World Trade Organization (WTO) Director-General Pascal Lamy and the outgoing European Union Trade Commissioner Peter Mandelson are among those warning that the economic troubles could breed protectionism, which would curtail economic growth when we need it most.

These admonitions come on the heels of the breakdown of the Doha round of trade talks and after much public rancor over pacts including the U.S.-Colombia Free Trade Agreement.

Nothing would be worse for the global economy than responding to the current crisis by closing the doors of opportunity that free trade unlocks. Free trade fuels momentous, positive change. According to the WTO, cutting trade barriers in agriculture, manufacturing and services by one-third would boost the world economy by $613 billion--that's equivalent to adding an economy the size of Canada's to the global marketplace. Free trade raises income--just look no further than the clear emergence of China and India's middle class for proof. In the U.S., exports have created 12 million jobs.

Beyond the economic benefits, free trade, if pursued with a long-term, fair and sustainable approach, can also build bridges among people and nations. At a time when the world seems constantly on edge, global trade presents a unique opportunity to help us overcome some of our differences and problems, whatever they may be.

One of the many lessons today's turmoil offers is that a company's success should be viewed in decades, not quarters. Having a long-term vision and the commitment to stick with it--fine-tuning as needed--sustains a company through downturns and propels steady growth.

Investing for the long haul was UPS's (nyse: UPS - news - people ) approach to building its international operations, which began in earnest 20 years ago this month. Our decision to "go global" was met initially with some internal skepticism, in part because our leaders knew it was going to be a very expensive and labor-intensive proposition.

They also recognized that it represented a big departure from our core competency as a domestic delivery service, but ultimately our executives did not waver from their vision of building an international company. As the Berlin Wall fell and China began to open its doors, they saw the emergence of a global economy. They knew that if UPS didn't adapt and become global itself, it would become irrelevant.

Today, the once-questioned decision to go global is helping to insulate UPS against the U.S. economic downturn. In part that's because many of our customers are experiencing tremendous growth even in these difficult times, because they're growing global businesses.

When U.S. companies grow internationally, they learn that long-term relationships are imperative to doing business around the world. Following the demise of some of Wall Street's most trusted names, I believe that business relationships are going to take on even more importance. For multinational companies, hiring locally wherever they operate is a key part of forging these relationships.

When UPS first set up operations around the world, we made the mistake of sending in large groups of U.S. expatriates to run the business. But we soon realized that we would not succeed without local knowledge and relationships. UPS's philosophy of developing "home-grown" talent and promotion from within has helped us establish a sustainable and community-conscious business model, while providing us a deep bench of talent that understands the local culture, language and business values.

That, in turn, has earned UPS the trust of the communities we serve. For example, 99% of our 5,500 employees in China are Chinese nationals. That played a big role in China's selection of UPS as the official logistics and express delivery sponsor of the Beijing Olympics.

While much of the world's trade growth has come as a result of shipping lower-cost goods from emerging markets to mature ones, higher fuel costs are shifting this pattern. Businesses in the European Union and the U.S. are finding it more cost effective to source their products from nearby locations in Eastern Europe or Mexico, respectively, forming a new trend called near-sourcing. This is helping companies better distribute risk, which is an important part of financial growth and stability. And it's also providing new opportunities. For example, in Mexico, the best-paying jobs now are export-related.

Sectors that export 60% or more of their production pay Mexican workers wages that are 39% higher than the rest of the economy, and maquiladora plants typically pay 3.5 times the Mexican minimum wage. These new economic opportunities can serve as a catalyst for educational development, positive political and regulatory reforms and social stability--all of which benefit us collectively.

The root cause of Wall Street's recent problems, and ultimately those of the world's financial institutions, won't be solved by global trade. But the ripple effect of those problems--which have been felt by virtually everyone on the planet--can be mitigated by ensuring the free flow of goods, information and funds around the world. Protectionism is a misnomer, as trade barriers don't protect.

The world is already so integrated economically that the greatest force impacting the greatest number of lives is business. How we react to our current challenges will be critical to our future. Let us keep the doors open.

The author, Dan Brutto is the President of UPS International.

US EXPORT COUNCIL PROVIDES ASSISTANCE TO US COMPANIES SEEKING ACCESS TO HIGH GROWTH MARKETS OVERSEAS. http://usexportcouncil.com/

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Oppenheimer: On Obama and Trade Pacts

Perhaps the most important question raised in the last presidential debate was the one that got the least media attention - whether a Barack Obama presidency would lead to U.S. protectionism, trade wars and a global depression.
 
Was that a fair accusation by Republican candidate John McCain?

The issue came up about halfway through the debate when McCain - noting that Obama ''has never been south of the border'' - attacked him for not supporting the U.S. free trade agreement with Colombia and for wanting to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement. 

''I don't think there's any doubt that Sen. Obama wants to restrict trade, and he wants to raise taxes,'' McCain said. ''And the last president of the United States that tried that was Herbert Hoover, and we went from a deep recession into a depression.'' 

Obama responded that ''I believe in free trade,'' but he added that not every free trade deal is a good one. He said he opposes the Colombian deal because of human rights concerns over killings of union leaders in that country, and that he opposed NAFTA because he objected to its lack of proper labor and environmental clauses. But, on the other hand, he said, ''I supported the Peruvian Free Trade Agreement, which was a well-structured agreement.''  McCain supporters say Obama is pandering to U.S. labor unions, which are campaigning actively for him and competition. Obama's current ads claiming that McCain's tax policies ''shift jobs overseas'' paint the Democrat's true feelings, Republicans say. 

And they note that Obama's claim that he ''supported'' the Peruvian free trade deal is misleading because Obama did not actually cast a vote for it. Obama aides say their candidate missed the vote because he was attending an Iowa debate that day, but that Obama publicly endorsed the deal at the time.

If Obama is a closet protectionist, as the McCain camp claims, that would entail huge risks for the global economy. 

The Great Depression of the 1930s was sparked by a 1929 stock market collapse, but really turned into a global depression after the United States passed the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act on June 17, 1930, which raised U.S. customs duties for imports by up to 50 percent. 

The tariff increases were aimed at helping domestic companies and generating jobs at home. Instead, other countries responded in kind, international trade plummeted by 33 percent over the next three years, U.S. exports collapsed and U.S. unemployment rose at record levels. 

The lesson is clear: Adopting protectionist measures in a recession is playing with fire, McCain supporters (and many Obama fans, too) say. 

My Opinion: I don't think Obama is a protectionist. When I interviewed him, he almost jumped from his seat when I asked him if he's anti-free trade. Like Bill Clinton before him, he would most likely switch to a more pro-free trade stance once in office. 

What worries me is whether Obama would have the guts to go against the growing protectionist mood in the country at a time when America needs to open new export markets more than ever. A new Zogby poll shows that 59 percent of Americans support either revising or withdrawing from NAFTA. 

And I wonder whether Obama would spend his political capital trying to persuade a Democratic-controlled Congress to support free trade. 

Pollsters forecast that the Democrats will retain control of both chambers of Congress and may win a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate. Twenty-three of the 35 Senate seats up for grabs are held by mostly pro-free trade Republicans, and some may be replaced by trade-skeptic Democrats, they say. 

Granted, a landslide victory by Obama on Nov. 4 would give him enough political clout to sway Congress in the right direction. But an Obama win by a small margin with a more protectionist Congress and amid a growing isolationist sentiment would be a different story. 

I have to confess that I like Obama on most issues. But on this one, I would like him to show more statesmanship. If the next president doesn't enthusiastically embrace free trade, the United States will be under growing domestic pressures to close its market to foreign goods, hurting the world economy - and itself. 

Andres Oppenheimer
The Miami Herald


US EXPORT COUNCIL PROVIDES ASSISTANCE TO US COMPANIES SEEKING ACCESS TO HIGH GROWTH MARKETS OVERSEAS. http://usexportcouncil.com/